GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/1/2025, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alcione · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Alcione are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Caldiero Terme are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Alcione hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 38.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Alcione holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alcione

Probability

42.8%

Model confidence

42.8%

Alcione has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlcioneLLWLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Caldiero TermeWDLLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AlcioneCaldiero Terme
28.9Attack34.2
67.5Defence43.9
41.2Form28.9
47.9Power38.1
1.07xG0.59
View match centre →