GGOALVIO

Japan · WE League · 11/23/2023, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Albirex Niigata W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Albirex Niigata W are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Vegalta Sendai are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Albirex Niigata W hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 37.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.7% in the WE League, while Albirex Niigata W holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Albirex Niigata W

Probability

62.7%

Model confidence

62.7%

Albirex Niigata W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Albirex Niigata WWL

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Vegalta SendaiLW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Albirex Niigata WVegalta Sendai
39.4Attack33.3
72.7Defence39.4
62.1Form31.8
60.1Power37.4
1.64xG0.46
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