Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Sunday, 26 July 202602:00Last updated 10:13
Albirex Niigata

Albirex Niigata

Home
W
34
Full time
Montedio Yamagata

Montedio Yamagata

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Montedio Yamagata33%
Albirex Niigata33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Albirex Niigata
33%
Draw
33%
Montedio Yamagata
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Albirex Niigata
73
Montedio Yamagata
9
Defence
Albirex Niigata
66
Montedio Yamagata
66
Momentum
Albirex Niigata
100
Montedio Yamagata
0
Danger (xG)
Albirex Niigata
1.80
Montedio Yamagata
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Albirex Niigata)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Montedio Yamagata)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Albirex Niigata)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Montedio Yamagata)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Albirex NiigataAlbirex Niigata
W
Montedio YamagataMontedio Yamagata
LL

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Albirex Niigata33%
Draw33%
Montedio Yamagata33%

Montedio Yamagata leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Albirex Niigata head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (W), while Montedio Yamagata arrive in mixed form (L). Albirex Niigata have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Montedio Yamagata over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Albirex Niigata (66/100) and Montedio Yamagata (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Albirex Niigata have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Montedio Yamagata have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Albirex Niigata and Montedio Yamagata in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Albirex Niigata 3333%, Draw 3333%, Montedio Yamagata 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Albirex Niigata

Albirex Niigata

W
vs Nara Club
16 May 2026
21
Montedio Yamagata

Montedio Yamagata

L
@ Oita Trinita
7 Jun 2026
01
L
@ Tochigi City
16 May 2026
03

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more