Albirex Niigatavs
Kashima
COMPLETEDJapan · J-League Cup · 3/26/2023, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Albirex Niigata are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Kashima are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashima hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the J-League Cup, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20