GGOALVIO

Singapore · Premier League · 10/18/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Albirex Niigata S · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Albirex Niigata S 0-2 Home United

Original prediction

Albirex Niigata S

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 3.50+
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.3820.6%38.9%18.3 pts
Draw3.8923.1%23.9%0.8 pts
Away1.6056.3%37.2%-19.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

18.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–18%
  2. 2.2–27%
  3. 3.1–17%

Predicted outcome

Albirex Niigata S

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Albirex Niigata S has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Albirex Niigata SLWWWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Home UnitedWWLDD

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Albirex Niigata SHome United
88.9Attack100.0
66.7Defence50.0
66.7Form66.7
70.3Power69.2
2.47xG1.81
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