Albion Roversvs
Tranent Juniors
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 8/15/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Albion Rovers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Albion Rovers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tranent Juniors are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Albion Rovers hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Challenge Cup, while Albion Rovers holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Albion Rovers
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Albion Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00