GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 2/28/2026, 12:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Albion FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Racing Montevideo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Montevideo hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.5% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

20.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Albion FCDWLDL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Racing MontevideoWDLDW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Albion FCRacing Montevideo
46.4Attack42.0
63.8Defence72.5
49.3Form60.9
54.3Power60.6
0.80xG0.85
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