GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 3/19/2023, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Albion FC are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Oriental are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Oriental hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Albion FCLW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
OrientalW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Albion FCOriental
45.8Attack41.3
57.3Defence63.5
42.7Form46.0
49.5Power52.1
1.07xG0.97
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