GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 4/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Albion FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Albion FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cerro Largo are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Albion FC hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Primera División, while Albion FC holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Albion FC

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Albion FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Albion FCDWWLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Cerro LargoWLWWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Albion FCCerro Largo
46.4Attack34.8
63.8Defence63.8
49.3Form42.0
54.3Power48.3
1.10xG0.68
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