GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/10/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Albinoleffe are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Triestina are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlbinoleffeDDWWW

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
TriestinaLL

GF 0 · GA 5 · avg 0.00/2.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
AlbinoleffeTriestina
29.8Attack53.5
67.5Defence61.4
39.5Form56.1
47.9Power58.1
0.71xG0.98
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