GGOALVIO

Italy · Coppa Italia Serie C · 10/4/2023, 2:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Renate · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Albinoleffe are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Renate are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Renate hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the Coppa Italia Serie C, while Renate holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Renate

Probability

35.8%

Model confidence

35.8%

Renate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlbinoleffeLLWLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
RenateWLWDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AlbinoleffeRenate
33.3Attack66.7
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form33.3
23.7Power45.3
1.37xG1.43
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