GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/20/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Albinoleffe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Pro Patria are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Albinoleffe hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlbinoleffeLLDDW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Pro PatriaDWLDD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AlbinoleffePro Patria
29.8Attack32.5
67.5Defence55.3
39.5Form40.4
47.9Power45.1
0.86xG0.57
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