GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/13/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Albinoleffe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Pergolettese are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Albinoleffe hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlbinoleffeDDLLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
PergoletteseDLLDL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AlbinoleffePergolettese
29.8Attack38.6
67.5Defence56.1
39.5Form39.5
47.9Power45.8
0.84xG0.68
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