GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 12/16/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Albinoleffe are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Pergolettese are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Albinoleffe hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlbinoleffeWLWLL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PergoletteseWLDLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AlbinoleffePergolettese
29.8Attack38.6
67.5Defence56.1
39.5Form39.5
47.9Power45.8
0.84xG0.68
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