Albinoleffevs
Ospitaletto
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 8/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Albinoleffe 0-0 Ospitaletto, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Albinoleffe 1-1 Ospitaletto
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 39.0% | 36.3% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.93 | 30.9% | 33.9% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.01 | 30.1% | 29.8% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.93 · Draw 1.93 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Projected Score
Albinoleffe 0–0 Ospitaletto
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.9%
Model confidence
36.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AlbinoleffeWLWLW
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
OspitalettoWLDWL
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AlbinoleffeOspitaletto
29.8Attack36.0
67.5Defence62.3
39.5Form39.5
47.9Power47.8
0.72xG0.64