Albinoleffevs
Novara
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/28/2025, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Albinoleffe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Novara are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Albinoleffe hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80