Albinoleffevs
Novara
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 3/10/2024, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Albinoleffe are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Novara are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Albinoleffe hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40