Albinoleffevs
Mantova
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 2/4/2024, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Albinoleffe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mantova are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mantova
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40