GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/4/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Albinoleffe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mantova are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mantova

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

49.5%

Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlbinoleffeDLWDL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MantovaWWDWW

GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AlbinoleffeMantova
29.8Attack63.2
67.5Defence72.8
39.5Form70.2
47.9Power68.8
0.49xG1.20
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