GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 4/28/2024, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Albinoleffe are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lumezzane are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlbinoleffeDDLDD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
LumezzaneWLDDW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
AlbinoleffeLumezzane
29.8Attack43.0
67.5Defence57.9
39.5Form46.5
47.9Power50.8
0.80xG0.77
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