GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/30/2023, 2:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Albinoleffe are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Legnago Salus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Legnago Salus hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

46.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlbinoleffeLWLLD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Legnago SalusWDLLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AlbinoleffeLegnago Salus
29.8Attack40.4
67.5Defence65.8
39.5Form49.1
47.9Power53.5
0.64xG0.73
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