GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 8/24/2024, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Albinoleffe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Albinoleffe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Caldiero Terme are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WDL), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Albinoleffe hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 38.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Albinoleffe holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Albinoleffe

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Albinoleffe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlbinoleffeLWDLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Caldiero TermeWDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.33/2.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
AlbinoleffeCaldiero Terme
29.8Attack34.2
67.5Defence43.9
39.5Form28.9
47.9Power38.1
1.11xG0.59
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