Albinoleffevs
Athletic Carpi
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Albinoleffe · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Albinoleffe 0-1 Athletic Carpi
Original prediction
Albinoleffe
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.9% | 38.1% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.5% | 30.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 3.41 | 26.6% | 31.4% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Albinoleffe
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Albinoleffe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80