Albinoleffevs
Athletic Carpi
SCHEDULEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Albinoleffe are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Athletic Carpi are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Athletic Carpi hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Serie C - Girone A, favouring a draw with 21.1% confidence, a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
21.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20