GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/13/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Albinoleffe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atalanta II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlbinoleffeLWDLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atalanta IILDDWW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AlbinoleffeAtalanta II
29.8Attack37.7
67.5Defence68.4
39.5Form51.8
47.9Power54.4
0.59xG0.69
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