Albinoleffevs
Arzignano Valchiampo
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/17/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Albinoleffe 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Albinoleffe 1-2 Arzignano Valchiampo
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 39.0% | 38.0% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.3% | 32.6% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 30.6% | 29.4% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Projected Score
Albinoleffe 0–0 Arzignano Valchiampo
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.6%
Model confidence
38.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AlbinoleffeDLDWL
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Arzignano ValchiampoLLDWD
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AlbinoleffeArzignano Valchiampo
16.7Attack28.1
83.3Defence67.5
33.3Form38.6
48.3Power46.1
0.83xG0.61