GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/21/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Albinoleffe are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Alessandria are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Albinoleffe hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 34.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlbinoleffeWDLLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AlessandriaLWLLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
AlbinoleffeAlessandria
29.8Attack17.5
67.5Defence57.9
39.5Form20.2
47.9Power34.3
0.84xG0.41
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