Albinoleffevs
Alcione
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/27/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Albinoleffe · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Albinoleffe 1-1 Alcione
Original prediction
Albinoleffe
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 43.4% | 36.4% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.5% | 30.0% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.33 | 27.1% | 33.6% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Albinoleffe
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Albinoleffe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80