Albert Quévy-Monsvs
Charleroi
COMPLETEDBelgium · Cup · 10/17/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charleroi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Albert Quévy-Mons 0-1 Charleroi
Original prediction
Charleroi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 14:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 11.47 | 8.0% | 36.9% | 28.8 pts |
| Draw | 6.52 | 14.1% | 22.9% | 8.7 pts |
| Away | 1.19 | 77.8% | 40.3% | -37.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-37.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Charleroi
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Charleroi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20