GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland Premier League · 3/11/2023, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Albany Creek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Albany Creek are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Logan Lightning are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.2 against 46.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Queensland Premier League, while Albany Creek holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Albany Creek

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Albany Creek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Albany CreekDW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Logan LightningWWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 1.33/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Albany CreekLogan Lightning
48.5Attack59.1
48.5Defence37.9
42.4Form40.9
48.2Power46.3
2.02xG1.72
View match centre →