Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Albania · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Albania 0-0 Belarus, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Albania 2-0 Belarus
Original prediction
Albania
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 15:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 58.2% | 39.1% | -19.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 24.5% | 32.1% | 7.6 pts |
| Away | 5.44 | 17.3% | 28.7% | 11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.1 pts
Projected Score
Albania 0–0 Belarus
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Albania
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Albania has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AlbaniaLLLWW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BelarusDWWWL
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AlbaniaBelarus
22.2Attack16.7
66.7Defence77.8
38.9Form38.9
45.6Power47.4
0.69xG0.68