Albania U19vs
Lithuania U19
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 10/2/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Albania U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Albania U19 2-1 Lithuania U19
Original prediction
Albania U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 37.1% | 37.6% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.4% | 27.4% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 35.4% | 35.0% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Albania U19
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Albania U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20