Albania U19vs
Lithuania U19
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 9/30/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Albania U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Albania U19 3-2 Lithuania U19
Original prediction
Albania U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 49.3% | 48.3% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.7% | 26.4% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.57 | 25.0% | 25.3% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Albania U19
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Albania U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00