Albalongavs
Unipomezia
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone G · 10/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Albalonga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Albalonga 1-1 Unipomezia
Original prediction
Albalonga
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 39.1% | 38.5% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.2% | 28.5% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 32.7% | 33.0% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Albalonga
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Albalonga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20