Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oviedo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Albacete 0-0 Oviedo, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Albacete 0-1 Oviedo
Original prediction
Oviedo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 38.7% | 29.2% | -9.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 30.3% | 29.8% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.00 | 31.0% | 41.0% | 10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.0 pts
Projected Score
Albacete 0–0 Oviedo
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Oviedo
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Oviedo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AlbaceteLLDWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
OviedoLDWLW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AlbaceteOviedo
39.7Attack42.0
55.6Defence70.3
40.5Form51.4
47.6Power55.7
0.74xG1.05