Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Espanyol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Albacete are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Espanyol are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Espanyol hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 58.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Segunda División, while Espanyol holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Espanyol
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Espanyol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00