Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eibar · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Albacete 0-2 Eibar, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Albacete 1-3 Eibar
Original prediction
Eibar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 35.7% | 24.6% | -11.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 27.5% | 25.7% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 36.8% | 49.7% | 12.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.9 pts
Projected Score
Albacete 0–2 Eibar
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Eibar
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Eibar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AlbaceteLLDLL
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
EibarWWWWW
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
AlbaceteEibar
19.0Attack71.4
42.9Defence71.4
4.8Form85.7
26.1Power76.5
0.59xG2.15