Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Albacete · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Albacete 1-2 Cordoba
Original prediction
Albacete
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 38.9% | 39.3% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.5% | 28.2% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 34.6% | 32.5% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Albacete
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Albacete has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AlbaceteDLLLL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CordobaLLLWL
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AlbaceteCordoba
39.7Attack66.7
55.6Defence0.0
40.5Form0.0
47.6Power23.7
1.36xG1.09