GGOALVIO

Spain · Segunda División · 8/20/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Albacete · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Albacete are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Amorebieta are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Albacete hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 42.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Segunda División, while Albacete holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Albacete

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

Albacete has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlbaceteDWLWL

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AmorebietaDLWWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AlbaceteAmorebieta
39.7Attack29.4
55.6Defence57.9
40.5Form35.7
47.6Power42.6
1.08xG0.70
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