Albacete IIvs
Atlético Paso
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 9/27/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Albacete II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Albacete II 0-0 Atlético Paso, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Albacete II 2-2 Atlético Paso
Original prediction
Albacete II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 46.9% | 40.2% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.2% | 31.9% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 3.60 | 24.9% | 27.9% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Projected Score
Albacete II 0–0 Atlético Paso
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Albacete II
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Albacete II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.67/3.00
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/1.50