⚽GOALVIO
Premier LeaguePremier League
Friday, 10 July 2026Last updated 10:05
Alay

Alay

Home
1–0
Full time
Toktogul

Toktogul

Away
GoalVio prediction
49% confidence
Alay(44%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Alay
Win probability
Alay
44%
Draw
35%
Toktogul
21%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No

Probability breakdown

49% confidence
Alay44%
Draw35%
Toktogul21%

Alay leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Alay head into this in Premier League fixture in unknown form, while Toktogul arrive in unknown form.

Alay have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Toktogul have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Alay and Toktogul in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Alay to win with 49% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Alay 4398%, Draw 3500%, Toktogul 2102%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Alay vs Toktogul?

GoalVio's model predicts Alay to win with 49% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Alay vs Toktogul?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Alay vs Toktogul?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Alay vs Toktogul?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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