Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alay · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 25 October 2026 at 08:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Alay
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Alay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AlayDLDLL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
NeftchiWWDLW
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AlayNeftchi
42.0Attack46.9
58.0Defence45.7
50.6Form44.4
51.7Power46.9
1.49xG1.07