Alayvs
Kara-Balta
COMPLETEDKyrgyzstan · Premier League · 3/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alay · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Alay are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kara-Balta are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alay hold a 36.7-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 22.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.6% in the Premier League, while Alay holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alay
Probability
79.6%
Model confidence
79.6%
Alay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40