Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alay · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Alay are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WDLW), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Ilbirs are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 5 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Alay hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 43.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the Premier League, while Alay holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alay
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Alay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/0.50
GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00