Alayvs
Asia Talas
COMPLETEDKyrgyzstan · Premier League · 4/5/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alay · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Alay are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Asia Talas are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WDLL), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Asia Talas hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the Premier League, while Alay holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alay
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
11.3%
Alay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.25/1.75