Friendlies Clubs
Alaves
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Castellón
AwayFriendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesAlavesCastellónProbability breakdown
Castellón leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Alaves head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (W), while Castellón arrive in mixed form (L). Alaves have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Castellón over 1 games.
Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Alaves's modest attack (34/100) faces a vulnerable Castellón defence (6/100), while Castellón's attack is up against a watertight Alaves backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Alaves's favour.
Alaves have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Castellón have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.
Castellón have generated 1.15 xG per game recently while conceding 1.63 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.
There is no head-to-head data between Alaves and Castellón in the engine.
The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Alaves 3333%, Draw 3333%, Castellón 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.
Recent form
Alaves
Castellón
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Alaves vs Castellón?
GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Alaves vs Castellón?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.
Will both teams score in Alaves vs Castellón?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Alaves vs Castellón?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.