GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alashkert · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Alashkert are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Vardar Skopje are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Alashkert hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 42.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Alashkert holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alashkert

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Alashkert has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlashkertWLDWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Vardar SkopjeDLLDL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AlashkertVardar Skopje
33.3Attack26.7
66.7Defence46.7
33.3Form46.7
45.5Power42.4
1.66xG1.10
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