Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alashkert · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Alashkert are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Van are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Alashkert hold an 85.8-point power-rating edge (100.0 v 14.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.2% in the Premier League, while Alashkert holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alashkert
Probability
66.2%
Model confidence
66.2%
Alashkert has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50