Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alashkert · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Alashkert 3-0 Syunik, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Alashkert 5-1 Syunik
Original prediction
Alashkert
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.20 | 75.5% | 76.9% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.88 | 15.4% | 14.2% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 9.97 | 9.1% | 8.9% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Projected Score
Alashkert 3–0 Syunik
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Alashkert
Probability
76.9%
Model confidence
76.9%
Alashkert has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AlashkertDDDWD
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
SyunikWLLDL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AlashkertSyunik
70.4Attack18.5
74.1Defence37.0
59.3Form18.5
66.3Power28.0
3.02xG0.42