Alashkertvs
Pyunik Yerevan
COMPLETEDArmenia · Premier League · 9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alashkert · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alashkert 3-3 Pyunik Yerevan
Original prediction
Alashkert
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 35.8% | 39.2% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.6% | 26.8% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 34.7% | 34.1% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Alashkert
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Alashkert has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60