GGOALVIO

Armenia · Premier League · 7/31/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alashkert · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Alashkert are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Pyunik Yerevan are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Alashkert hold a 28.8-point power-rating edge (100.0 v 71.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the Premier League, while Alashkert holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alashkert

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Alashkert has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlashkertLWDWL

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Pyunik YerevanWWWWW

GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AlashkertPyunik Yerevan
100.0Attack83.3
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form66.7
100.0Power71.2
1.88xG1.32
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