GGOALVIO

Armenia · First League · 8/21/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alashkert II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Alashkert II are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 5.00 conceded, while Ararat-Armenia II are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Alashkert II hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (44.8 v 22.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the First League, while Alashkert II holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alashkert II

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Alashkert II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alashkert IIL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/5.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Ararat-Armenia IILWW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.67/0.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Alashkert IIArarat-Armenia II
46.7Attack0.0
42.7Defence55.6
40.0Form0.0
44.8Power22.9
1.68xG1.38
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